Predicting the Future | ICANN New gTLDs: "Until people experienced ATMs, it turned out the data couldn’t predict what would happen.
We can also find an example of “innovation is hard to predict” in the domain name industry. The top-level domain .com was added as an afterthought, on the belief that the real action on the budding Darpanet would be in .edu and .mil. The thinking at the time was that very few commercial entities had any need to transfer data around. Now .com has roughly 90 million registered names.
The committees inventing the first TLDs could not anticipate future technologies, such as the popular adoption of broadband. Nor could they foresee generational shifts in the zeitgeist (the World War II generation didn’t have the openness that launched blogs, podcasting, and Google; and the Baby Boomers didn’t have the millennial generation’s “groupiness” that launched Facebook, Twitter, and Foursquare)."
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